Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 14.833902 16.842069 19.141086 21.994778 25.480051 29.649058 35.092083
2025-05-18 12.059586 14.490650 17.513597 21.634572 27.248182 34.855409 46.377041
2025-05-25 10.488370 13.063752 16.442180 21.349062 28.572117 39.323952 57.687334
2025-06-01 9.442760 12.093698 15.720881 21.267355 29.983485 44.079265 71.030805
2025-06-08 8.492322 11.104308 14.793415 20.663266 30.380138 47.210250 82.731018
2025-06-15 7.876381 10.500022 14.318040 20.629758 31.629165 52.067108 100.061072
2025-06-22 7.137061 9.637369 13.349456 19.647932 31.024286 53.256575 109.840902
2025-06-29 6.488222 8.850829 12.414898 18.590706 30.078197 53.500469 117.460658
2025-07-06 6.004719 8.274327 11.753004 17.909967 29.712157 54.868333 129.025674
2025-07-13 6.136464 8.646200 12.631552 20.032437 35.246916 71.347847 201.123213
2025-07-20 5.981358 8.550506 12.726163 20.734424 38.013166 82.325158 268.805010
2025-07-27 5.629256 8.110799 12.195754 20.171440 37.857152 85.317215 305.662462
2025-08-03 5.469547 7.987593 12.224481 20.758827 40.626247 98.570539 425.307659
2025-08-10 5.189436 7.645313 11.837370 20.458158 41.199635 105.339810 525.213841
2025-08-17 4.941555 7.340007 11.489583 20.192289 41.807108 112.647021 656.992465
2025-08-24 4.741559 7.102955 11.246121 20.116795 42.910687 122.559783 865.167299
2025-08-31 4.497045 6.774077 10.806116 19.557625 42.564079 126.588096 1032.458390
2025-09-07 4.337128 6.583516 10.612482 19.526595 43.733452 138.043645 1422.283204
2025-09-14 4.085351 6.217848 10.059585 18.616681 42.122451 135.868089 1535.012460
2025-09-21 3.841716 5.856460 9.495854 17.635383 40.151492 131.254287 1573.141475
2025-09-28 3.653468 5.586205 9.095047 17.002680 39.167584 131.339505 1770.231553
2025-10-05 3.761599 5.852175 9.760228 18.973182 46.938356 185.343866 6552.359056
2025-10-12 3.720487 5.843142 9.875397 19.623517 50.605552 221.413074 19837.477193